[BLDG-SIM] Photovoltaics - cost payback

Pat Bailey pbailey at greenbuildingstudio.com
Fri Feb 16 15:17:47 PST 2007


In CA, there has been a very detailed summary of costs prepared for the
PUC.  The values in the table below are costs prior to any incentives
and are through some point in 2006. 
 
The payback is very sensitive to various tax incentives that  can vary
by state and by entity.  For example, the State of
California/Utilities/PUC have incentives that vary depending on whether
or not an entity pays taxes and therefore can benefit from tax
deductions, increased depreciation, etc.  The "per kWh/per W" incentives
are higher for entities that don't benefit from the tax benefits.
 
We have seen paybacks ranging from something like 6-7 years on the low
end (including incentives) to approx. 11 years on the high end.  There
is a large amount of variability depending on size and complexity.  We
typically assume $8/Watt as a baseline cost for schematic purposes.
 
Pat
 
 
 

 

 

$/Watt Installed

System Size

Status

Total # Projects

Low

Avg

Median

 High 

 St. Dev. 

< 50

Complete

236  

 $        4.37 

 $        8.89 

 $        8.96 

 $      15.47 

 $        1.44 

 

Active

112  

 $        2.77 

 $        8.31 

 $        8.54 

 $      17.60 

 $        2.21 

51 - 100

Complete

107  

 $        4.93 

 $        9.05 

 $        8.89 

 $      17.72 

 $        1.82 

 

Active

195  

 $        5.13 

 $        9.66 

 $      10.10 

 $      22.99 

 $        1.84 

101 - 200

Complete

100  

 $        4.28 

 $        8.40 

 $        8.44 

 $      15.90 

 $        1.51 

 

Active

128  

 $        2.81 

 $        8.73 

 $        8.88 

 $      14.28 

 $        1.53 

201 - 500

Complete

56  

 $        4.64 

 $        7.90 

 $        7.94 

 $      11.82 

 $        1.28 

 

Active

123  

 $        3.50 

 $        9.06 

 $        8.51 

 $      21.10 

 $        2.65 

501 +

Complete

17  

 $        4.51 

 $        7.54 

 $        7.50 

 $      10.36 

 $        1.50 

 

Active

77  

 $        3.51 

 $        8.18 

 $        8.21 

 $      10.79 

 $        1.18 

_____________________________________
Pat Bailey, PE
Vice President

Green Building Studio, Inc.
444 Tenth Street, Suite 300
Santa Rosa, CA 95401

707-569-7373 x101 - voice
707-569-7313 - fax


 
 


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