[Bldg-sim] Saving Energy to Save the Planet
Bishop, Bill
bbishop at pathfinder-ea.com
Fri Sep 27 13:58:00 PDT 2013
Varkie,
Yes.
We need to make "standard of living" distinct from energy intensity. Carbon diets all around.
Being a stickler for numbers (and having researched this for a Climate Change presentation I'm doing next week) I modified and added to your table, using data from this website<http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/>. Population growth has been nearly linear over the past 30 to 40 years and is expected to level off at 10 bn.
1999
12
6,000
1,000
83
2011
12
7,000
1,000
83
2024
13
8,000
1,000
77
2040
16
9,000
1,000
63
2062
22
10,000
1,000
45
Regards,
Bill
William Bishop, PE, BEMP, BEAP, LEED AP | Pathfinder Engineers & Architects LLP
Senior Energy Engineer
134 South Fitzhugh Street Rochester, NY 14608
T: (585) 325-6004 Ext. 114 F: (585) 325-6005
bbishop at pathfinder-ea.com<mailto:wbishop at pathfinder-ea.com> www.pathfinder-ea.com<http://www.pathfinder-ea.com/>
P Sustainability - the forest AND the trees. P
From: bldg-sim-bounces at lists.onebuilding.org [mailto:bldg-sim-bounces at lists.onebuilding.org] On Behalf Of Varkie Thomas
Sent: Friday, September 27, 2013 1:19 PM
To: bldg-sim at lists.onebuilding.org
Subject: [Bldg-sim] Saving Energy to Save the Planet
Increasing transportation and building energy use is not going to save the planet.
It requires controlling the human population growth.
The Impact of Building Energy Standards on Saving the Planet.
Human population growth
Year
No. of
No. of
Human
Increase
Years
Humans
Increase
per Year
Apart
(millions)
(millions)
(millions)
BC
10,000
5
BC
3,000
7,000
25
20
0
0
3,000
250
225
0
1,700
1,700
700
450
0
1,800
100
1,000
300
10
1,900
100
1,600
600
16
1,930
30
2,000
400
67
1,960
30
3,000
1,000
100
1,975
15
4,000
1,000
267
1,987
12
5,000
1,000
417
2,000
13
6,000
1,000
462
2,010
10
7,000
1,000
700
2,015
5
8,000
1,000
1,600
The population of America is about 300 million, Europe's (Western, Eastern, and Russia) is about 700 million, and in Japan and Korea it is about 200 million. There are about another 800 million in the rest of the world (China, India, Brazil, etc.) with same standard of living. This represents less than 30% of the world's population of 7,000 million. However, this 30% use almost all of the earth's resources and is responsible for almost all of the industrial pollution and global warming.
There is no population growth in the 30% segment of the population with a high (energy wasting) standard of living, but their energy use per capita is escalating at faster rate than the population which is escalating at an alarming rate. If the other 70% population were to reach the same standard of living as the energy wasters and polluters (the 30% segment) we would have to consider "Global Heating". Standard of living might curb population growth but it results in escalating energy use and atmospheric pollution.
Industrial pollution would make life impossible on this planet if the other 70% of the world's population (which is escalating) were to reach the living standards of the existing 30%. Industrial pollution is not the main threat. At the present rate of human population growth, forests, vegetation, and most large animal life will be devastated in a few hundred years. This has happened in the past as with the dinosaurs.
Uncontrolled human population growth has destroyed forests and vegetation. It is responsible for destroying animal life as well, particularly the large mammals that require large amounts of forest and grassland to survive. Tigers, lions, elephants, giraffes, rhinos and hippos are going join dinosaurs as interesting science education in schools. Humans will soon be competing for space on this planet only with rats, cockroaches, flies, and insects. History has shown that the smaller creature will win.
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.onebuilding.org/pipermail/bldg-sim-onebuilding.org/attachments/20130927/2fc0d018/attachment-0001.htm>
More information about the Bldg-sim
mailing list