I think it's difficult to "calibrate" using only annual whole
building data. Most of the calibration that I've been involved uses
monthly billing data and even at that admittedly coarse level, using
the actual year weather data becomes important, since the degree
days by month can easily vary by 40% or more year to year.
But there's another thing that puzzles me - when there are so many
unknowns in the input data, isn't it a relief whenever it's possible
to eliminate one of them, like the weather data? Asked another way,
if you had the weather data for the right time period, why would you
not use it?
Perhaps the question gets back to convenience, and this is where I
say that building modelers should get better acquainted with what's
now available in historical weather data. Just remember that every
"typical year" weather file is made from many years of historical
weather data. So, at any time historical year data should be more
plentiful than "typical year" weather data. The only question is
how to get it. Happily, now that the ISH is online, there's very
little need to search elsewhere, at least for the US.
If you want to see the situation for 2010, look at
http://www.whiteboxtechnologies.com/WB-weather/google-select.php
which shows all the ISH stations for which I've already created
simulation-ready weather files.
Joe
Joe Huang
White Box Technologies, Inc.
346 Rheem Blvd., Suite 108D
Moraga CA 94556
yjhuang@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
www.whiteboxtechnologies.com
(o) (925)388-0265
(c) (510)928-2683
"building energy simulations at your fingertips"
On 6/28/2012 2:09 PM, R B wrote:
I have a different take on this. I think a TMY is good
enough for doing model calibration that is used for ECM
savings analysis on a whole building level and yearly
basis - I think this is the type of project Jim is
alluding to. In this scheme of things, the most important
factors are the scheduling of the various equipment/loads
and the control logic and gathering relevant data and
making sure that the bills actually represent the building
in question properly. If you are going for hourly
calibrations etc, or calibrating to the few weeks of trend
data that is collected, then may be actual weather data is
useful, although not 100% convinced on this - depends on
how much data one is able to collect.
If we go for a retrofit of a typical commercial
building which is mostly internal loads dominated (unless
the perimeter to sqft is a lot more-I am sure you can find
papers related to this), I am not sure if weather related
issues are as important. Also, while doing retrofit, you
have access to three or more years of utility bill.
Averaging out the utility bills (removing obviously
outlier data) and calibrating to it is a reasonable way of
proceeding to decide the savings due to ECMs. This takes
care of the weather issues as well as all the
operating/internal load issues that are also changing over
time. Now you are no longer dealing with one year.
It obviously depends on the building type - OA
dominated buildings get calibrated better with actual data
- even here the more important data is the amount of OA
coming into the building and the control logic.
Residential and small buildings are a different
category - they will get calibrated better with actual
data.
I agree with Jim that only recently a easy/non-time
consuming way of using actual data has become available.
Has anyone tried it (the files from weather analytics or
equivalent) - is it as easy as using TMY without having to
worry if the results discrepancy is due to issues in the
weather file?
-Rohini
On Thu, Jun 28, 2012 at 1:48 PM, Jim Dirkes <jim@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
wrote:
Dear Joe,
No fair! You and Dru have been at
the forefront energy modeling research for
most of my adult life, and have a big head
start.
My guess is that you spent a lot of
time preparing the actual weather files
for the research, however. Unless I’m
missing something, the ready availability
of high quality (e.g., no big hunks of
missing data) actual weather data has been
pretty limited until recently. With folk
like Weather Analytics getting on board
and making it pretty easy to get and
inexpensive, it becomes a lot faster and
lower cost than trying to clean some of
the NOAA / NCDC data, not to mention
getting good data for sites not in or near
a major city.
Kudos for being way ahead of the
industry curve (at least my own curve)!
It’s getting easier to catch up!
p.s., Dru sent me that paper and I’ll
be reading it with interest very soon.
I've always thought it was a
"no-brainer" to use actual weather data
whenever you're comparing simulation
results to actual consumption data.
Even with the earliest degree-day
software such as
PRISM (Princeton Scorekeeping Method) in
the 1980's, it was stressed to use the
degree days
from the period of record, and not the
long-term average, so I'm not sure why
this (using actual
year weather data) is such a revelation.
The variation in total energy
consumption of course depends a lot on
the building characteristics.
Back in 1996, Dru Crawley and I wrote a
paper on "Does it matter which weather
data you use in energy simulations?",
for the ACEEE Summer Study on Energy
Efficiency in Buildings (it also
appeared as two
separate ASHRAE papers at around the
same time) where we took some
prototypical building models (Dru did
commercial, I did residential) and ran
them with various "typical year" weather
files and also 25 years of historical
data in 10-12 US locations.
Joe
Joe Huang
White Box Technologies, Inc.
346 Rheem Blvd., Suite 108D
Moraga CA 94556
yjhuang@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
www.whiteboxtechnologies.com
(o) (925)388-0265
(c) (510)928-2683
"building energy simulations at your fingertips"
On 6/28/2012 8:49 AM, Jim Dirkes wrote:
Dear Forums,
I am busy preparing a short
talk for the Fall ASHRAE Energy
Modeling Conference. The topic
is “An Approach for Calibrating
Existing Building Energy Models
to their Utility Consumption”.
As part of the preparation, I
will address the issue of how
much difference might result in
energy conservation measure
savings predictions if you use
actual weather data for the
billing period versus TMY data.
To get a rough idea how much
variation there might be, I
looked at Degree Days for a span
of years. What a variation!
(for the city I’m studying at
least)
I am not yet sure how that
affects total energy consumption
– you’ll have to attend my
presentation in Atlanta to find
out J.
In the meantime, I am starting
to think that existing building
energy models should use actual
weather, not TMY data. Have any
of you run similar comparisons
for existing building models?
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